Integration of the SAPEVO-H² Method to Capability-Based Planning: Strategic Modeling for National Defense

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Abstract

Capability-Based Planning (PBC) is a strategic approach that allows Armed Forces to develop adaptable capabilities to meet ever-evolving challenges. This study investigates the integration of the SAPEVO-H² method as an analytical support in the conception of force in the scope of Brazilian defense. From a hierarchical structure, the study analyzes interdependencies between variables, from Vectors of Action to Means, and resource allocation. The proposed framework demonstrates its feasibility in prioritizing capabilities, favoring alignment with geopolitical changes and operational demands. Additionally, through mathematical programming techniques, strategic maximization in the face of budget constraints is possible. In view of the uncertainty in future scenarios, the SAPEVO-H² method is favorable for integration with the PBC, analytically corroborating the conception of force and budget distribution. The study concludes by suggesting the expansion of the use of decision models oriented to PBC in defense and public security policies.

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Institutions
  • 1 Universidade Federal Fluminense - UFF
  • 2 CASNAV
  • 3 Centro de Análises de Sistemas Navais (CASNAV)
  • 4 Estado-Maior da Armada (EMA)
  • 5 Universidade Federal Fluminense
  • 6 Escola Naval (EN)
Track
  • 25. SE-PODMAR
Keywords
Capacity-Based Planning
Multicriteria Decision Support
SAPEVO-H² Method
Mathematical Programming
Budget Optimization