Application of Machine Learning in the Construction of a Mortality Table

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Abstract

This work proposes the construction of a general mortality table using machine learning algorithms, with the objective of improving adherence to the rates observed in a Brazilian pension fund. The study applies 12 regression models available in the Scikit-learn library, with optimization through cross-validation and hyperparameter adjustment. Seeking optimization in the models, the K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN) algorithm presented the best
performance in the test set. Thus, the proposed approach can offer greater flexibility in the construction of actuarial tables, being a promising alternative to traditional methodologies.

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Institutions
  • 1 Centro de Análises de Sistemas Navais - CASNAV
  • 2 Centro de Análises de Sistemas Navais (CASNAV)
Track
  • 25. SE-PODMAR
Keywords
Machine Learning
Mortality Table
Predictive Modeling