Using X-ray Flux Time Series for Solar Explosion Forecastings
Among the natural phenomena that happen in the Sun, one that has direct impact on Earth are the solar explosions. These explosions emit an X-ray flux that can be detected and used as an indicative of new explosions. In this work, we evaluated whether X-ray flux time series are suitable as the base dataset for solar flare forecasting. To do so, we applied a multilayer perceptron (MLP) neural network. The experiments indicated that X-ray flux time series can be used to forecast solar flares, even though the average errors increase with wider forecast horizons.