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Modelagem da expansão urbana de São José dos Campos SP entre 1991 e 2000

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This work is committed to parameterize and calibrate an urban expansion simulation model for the city of São José dos Campos – SP, Brazil, in the time span ranging from 1991 to 2000. The input data were obtained from a digital database especially built in the scope of a FAPESP-funded research project entitled "Urban Sprawl and Changes in the Urban Tissue: a Case Study in São Paulo State". The methodological procedures comprise the data pre-processing, parameterization, calibration, simulation, and statistical validation of the simulation model, which were executed in the Dinamica EGO platform, with the exception of the first procedure. The simulation result showed to be satisfactory in face of the attained agreement indices and the Dinamica EGO platform demonstrated to be robust for carrying out this modeling experiment.