MODELING THE RESILIENCE OF URBAN MOBILITY WITH A SYSTEM DYNAMICS APPROACH

A resilient urban mobility system should be able to neutralize the effects of disruptive events (threats) while maintaining its essential state of functionality. Given the scarcity of studies addressing threats to urban mobility and the concurrent impacts on the urban mobility systems, a holistic analysis considering key elements of transport systems and their interactions is necessary. Thus, this doctoral research aims to describe and analyze the dynamics involved in a resilient urban mobility system using system dynamics modeling. The method for assessing the resilience comprises: characterization of cause-effect relationships; formulation and validation of qualitative models; formulation, validation, and sensitivity analysis of quantitative models; simulation of scenarios. Up to now, we have developed the characterization of cause-effect relationships, as well as the formulation and validation of qualitative models.